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Modeling Spatial Concentration of Transportation Systems to Assess Vulnerability to Natural Hazard and Terrorist Threats

Author: Rae Zimmerman, Carlos E. Restrepo, Jeffrey S. Simonoff, and Zvia S. Naphtali

November 5-8, 2006. INFORMS, Joint Session: Urban Transportation Planning Models I: Transportation System Risk, Security, and Emergency Response. Pittsburgh, PA. Spatial concentration of transportation facilities, capacity, usage and value are important indicators of transportation vulnerability to consequences of catastrophic events. Regional economic measurements and models to discern patterns in concentration are applied to U.S. air, sea, and land transport of people and goods, as well as the transport of energy products. Policy implications and transferability of decision tools are described.

Date Created: November 2006; Date Posted: November 2006

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