Information Exchange: Projects

Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE)

Project Sponsor: U.S. Department of Homeland Security through the University of Southern California, Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE). Start Date: April 1, 2005 (Second Year Projects).

The nation’s critical infrastructures have a key life-saving and quality of life role, make an enormous contribution to the Gross Domestic Product, and have assets estimated at several trillions of dollars. Infrastructure systems are vulnerable to disruption by virtue of their typically large physical distribution networks and centralized production systems. Global terrorist attacks on infrastructure have shown that the effects can be catastrophic. Given the potential for cascading effects that could be exacerbated by interdependencies among infrastructure systems following an attack on the nation’s infrastructures, the U.S. government has placed a very high priority on their security. In the first year, New York University conducted a case study of electrical power outages to examine consequences including economic costs of potential terrorist attacks on that critical infrastructure. Regression models using non-terrorist outage data are used to estimate outage characteristics such as duration and customers lost which are then used to estimate consequences of potential terrorist attacks on these systems. In the second year, two projects are being undertaken. The first is to develop quantified indicators of critical infrastructure use, capacity, and spatial distributional characteristics as a basis for resource allocation priorities to protect those infrastructures. The second is an evaluation of critical infrastructure dependencies in border areas that potentially affect border security.

For a list of publications created as a part of the CREATE project from 2003-2007 please see

http://icisnyu.org/assets/documents/PubsListICISNYUforCREATE.pdf

(updated January 2008)

Participating Institutions in CREATE: University of Southern California, New York University, University of Wisconsin-Madison, and Structured Decisions Corporation. For further information on CREATE, see http://www.usc.edu/dept/create/.

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People:

• Clark, Sara
• Culpen, Alison
• Dooskin, Nicole
• Fraissinet, Jeremy
• Greenberg, Michael
• Hartwell, Ray
• Holmgren, Ake
• Lear, Michael
• Miller, Justin
• Nagorsky, Becca
• Naphtali, Zvia
• Remington, Wendy
• Restrepo, Carlos
• Simonoff, Jeffrey
• Zimmerman, Rae

Publications:

• A European perspective on protecting critical infrastructure from catastrophe: Planning for the Protection of Critical Infrastructures Against Attacks: Policy and Risk Assessment
• A Worst Case Electricity Scenario: The Benefits and Costs of Prevention
• Analyzing Vulnerabilities in the Oil and Gas Sector from Incident Data
• CREATE Electricity Case Main Report: Risk, Consequences, and Economic Accounting, Report 1
• CREATE Electricity Case: Economic Cost Estimation Factors for Economic Assessment of Terrorist Attacks, Report 2
• CREATE Electricity Case: Impact to New Jersey's Economy of the Loss of Power in New Jersey's Urban Industrial Corridor, Report 5
• CREATE Electricity Case: Risk Analysis of Infrastructure Systems, Report 4
• CREATE Electricity Case: Statistical Analysis of Electric Power Outages, Report 3
• Connectivity and Consistency of Environmental Decision Tools for Community Planning
• Consequence Assessment Methods for Terrorist Acts Against Critical Infrastructure
• Critical Infrastructure and Interdependency
• Decision-making and the vulnerability of interdependent critical infrastructure
• Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Industry Forum
• Development Patterns, Infrastructure Interdependencies, and the Security of Rail and Road-based Transportation Systems
• Diagnostic Tools to Estimate Consequences of Terrorism Effects Against Critical Infrastructure
• Environmental Dimensions of Terrorism and Natural Hazards
• Estimating Consequences of Terrorism Attacks Against Critical Infrastructure: Electric Power Case
• Estimating Risks and Consequences of Catastrophic Energy and Electricity Outages
• Float Together / Sink Together? The Effects of Connectivity on Power Systems
• Global Climate Change Impacts on Coastal Infrastructure Services
• Hurricane Katrina: Societal Impacts of Civil and Environmental Infrastructure in New Orleans
• Increasing the Security and Reliability of the US Electric System
• Information Technology (IT) and Critical Infrastructure Interdependencies for Emergency Response
• Infrastructure and Health
• Mass Transit Infrastructure and Urban Health
• Modeling Spatial Concentration of Transportation Systems to Assess Vulnerability to Natural Hazard and Terrorist Threats
• Optimizing Resource Allocation for Transportation Infrastructure Protection
• Outside of the Box: Indicator-based Assessments for Terrorist Attacks
• Planning Tools to Protect Border Area Infrastructure
• Planning for Urban Security with Green Technologies
• Presentation on the role of the first homeland security center of excellence, the Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events, and its critical infrastructure mission
• Promoting Flexibility in Transportation to Reduce Vulnerability in the Aftermath of Terrorism
• Protecting Critical Infrastructure from Terrorism: A Risk-Based Multi-Hazard Approach to Vulnerability Assessment
• Publications list NYU/ICIS for CREATE
• Risk Management and Risk Analysis-Based Decision Tools for Attacks on Electric Power
• Risk and Economic Costs of a Terrorist Attack on the Electric System
• Risks and Costs of a Terrorist Attack on the Electricity System
• Robust Transportation and Future Threats: from Terrorism to Climate Change
• Security Planning: Protecting Infrastructure and the Public Realm
• Short and Intermediate Economic Impacts of a Terrorist-Initiated Loss of Electric Power: Case Study of New Jersey
• Social Implications of Infrastructure Network Interactions
• Sustainability and Security
• The Epidemiology of Extreme Events: Health and Safety Impacts of Cascading Infrastructure Failures
• The Next Step: Quantifying Infrastructure Interdependencies to Improve Security
• Two Sided Electricity Markets: Self Healing Systems
• Unraveling Geographic Interdependencies in Electric Power Infrastructure

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